prob.md

---
alias: probability of observation, prob
tags: cyber, core
crystal-type: measure
crystal-domain: cyber
---
the probability that the collective intelligence observes a particle, given the equilibrium of [[diffusion]] exploration, [[springs]] structure, and [[heat]] context

the Boltzmann distribution at the tri-kernel fixed point:



$$\phi^*_i \propto \exp(-\beta[E_{\text{spring},i} + \lambda E_{\text{diff},i} + \gamma C_i])$$



particles at lower free energy get higher prob. applies to all particles β€” content-particles and axon-particles alike

prob answers: given everything the system knows about structure, flow, and context β€” how likely is this particle to matter?

cyberank is the rank score. prob is the number. value is prob Γ— cap. karma is prob aggregated per neuron

see prob for the derivation from the tri-kernel functional

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