cyberia/research/migration market funnel.md

migration market funnel

one-screen render of the migration market model: 5.7B adults filtered through aspiration and capability, sorted across the nine status currencies, and resolving into rooting or a jurisdiction portfolio. the nomad awareness ladder sits at the bottom. figures are model estimates, not a census.

diagram source: diagrams/migration_funnel.py — regenerate with python3 diagrams/migration_funnel.py and paste the output between the svgbob fence below. optica renders the fence to inline theme-adaptive SVG.

MOVING . 25 35M PEOPLE YEAR WORLD ADULTS . 5.7B the settled 4.5B stay outside the funnel WANT TO LEAVE . 900M [16%] gap 500 . survival 170 . trajectory 130 . values 100 TRAPPED . 750M ABLE . 150M barriers: access . money . skills aspiration x capability removable via corridors actively preparing 25M NINE STATUS CURRENCIES . totals include dependents BLOOD 1.5M MARRIAGE 1.8M SPONSOR 0.3M STUDY 2.6M birth: parents, union by choice third party pays degree as ticket kids ancestry spouses,partners PSR, parole 5 10 yr clocks cannot be bought hence sham checks crowdfunded $150B to unis LABOR 11M SUFFERING 7M MONEY 0.3M IDEOLOGY 1000s skill: points, move; 1M grant capital: CBI RBI conviction: permits, shifts asylum, upfront invest r visas decree 702,visas $860B remittance 120M stock queue $20 25B yr 2024+ frontier CLUB CITIZENSHIP . 4 5M yr free movement: EU EEA, ECOWAS, Mercosur, intra GCC, EAEU . inherited key Blood 1 gen VISA RESIDENCY PR PASSPORT presence living rights resident rooting ROOTING PORTFOLIO . the market gap 10M close a position yr 60 80M open p sitions stock 200M . exited the market demand maturity: N0 N3 + MOBILE RESERVE able, not yet willing . buys options shock a wave in weeks [2022 case] NOMAD SEGMENT . AWARENESS LADDER N0 ASLEEP 28M N1 HURTING 8M N2 SEEKING 2 3M N3 BUILD 0.3M visa routine risk seen now wants multi jur n presence port status: no Q banking, taxes market junk hand assembled woken by shock risk: false exit no product name owns the method lever: shocks lever: content lever: method source of method MONEY TRAIL remittances $860B . universities $150 200B . CBI RBI $20 25B smuggling $10B . sponsorship $2 5B crowdfunded flow: labor 11 . study 2.6 . blood+marriage 3.3 . suffering 7 . club 4.5 . money 0.3 . irregular 2.5 . nomad churn 2.5 25 35M

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